A Review of Geopolitical Risk in Russia and the Middle East

Two conflicts (Gaza, Ukraine) have escalated significantly this week, with Ukraine launching a ground incursion into Russia’s Kursk region in a surprise move that Moscow was unable to thwart, and with Iran indicating on Tuesday that a Gaza ceasefire deal would “delay” retaliation against Israel. In combination with this, there are indications that Libya’s period of calm before the rival government storm is dissipating, with the Libyan National Army (LNA) strongman General Khalifa Haftar invited to talks in Egypt to the extreme…