Why Oil Markets Are Trading With Zero Conviction

With nearly a month since U.S. President-elect Donald Trump won a second term in the Oval Office, oil markets have been struggling to find direction despite event risk remaining high, particularly in the Middle East. According to commodity analysts at Standard Chartered, the market’s apparent hesitation to trade a view with any conviction has intensified the notion that oil markets seem content to wait for Trump to take office. Volatility has fallen sharply, with the 30-day front-month Brent realized annualized volatility sinking to a1 6-week…